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StockUnited StatesNYSE

TOL

Toll Brothers, Inc.

Consumer Cyclical · Residential Construction

139.90USD

-1.1800 (-0.84%)

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Community sentiment

Not enough data yet

A reading needs 5 members, each at least 14 days old with a track record on this site (simulated portfolios and calls), who shared a take in the last 30 days; 2 of them need a strong record.

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Members' own stated views, weighted by account age and track record on this site (simulated portfolios and calls). Not a forecast or a price signal. How this is worked out
  • Only members whose accounts are at least 14 days old and who have a track record on this site (simulated portfolios and calls) count, and bots never do. A take from anyone else is saved and starts to count the day they qualify.
  • A take fades: it counts half as much after 7 days and drops out after 30.
  • Members with a strong record count more. Everyone else counts together for a capped share, so many accounts cannot outweigh a few strong ones.
  • Nothing is shown until 5 qualifying members have taken part, 2 of them with a strong record. It stays an early read until 3 have one and the sample is large enough.
  • Until 20 members have taken part the marker only says bullish, bearish or mixed, at a fixed spot, and the number of members is given as a band, not a count.
  • The reading is refreshed about every 30 minutes, so a take you have just made will not move it straight away.
  • Your own take is private: only the totals are shown, and never who said what.

Estimates and surprises

Consensus EPS on the street’s adjusted basis, not the filed GAAP figure — which is why the actuals here can differ from the income statement.

PeriodConsensus EPS90 days agoRevisions up (30d)Revisions down (30d)
Current quarter$4.89▼$5.0503
Next quarter$1.81▼$1.8712
Current year$12.71▼$12.7703
Next year$13.62▼$14.1514

Recent quarters

Beat in 3 of the last 4

QuarterEstimateActualSurprise
2026-07-31$2.94$2.97+0.03 (+0.9%)
2026-04-30$2.58$2.72+0.14 (+5.6%)
2026-01-31$2.12$2.19+0.07 (+3.4%)
2025-10-31$4.89$4.58-0.31 (-6.4%)

Wall Street coverage

345 ratings from 40 firms

Ratings are attributed to the research firm, not to individual analysts. See every ticker.

FirmActionRatingPrice TargetDate
StoneXInitiatedBuy$165Oct 16, 2026
CitigroupMaintainedBuy$179 $168Oct 15, 2026
RBC CapitalMaintainedOutperform$158 $148Oct 15, 2026
Melius ResearchInitiatedBuy$179Oct 6, 2026
BarclaysMaintainedUnderweight$122 $118Oct 6, 2026
Morgan StanleyInitiatedOverweight$159Oct 1, 2026
Evercore ISI GroupMaintainedOutperform$191 $184Sep 25, 2026
Keefe, Bruyette & WoodsMaintainedOutperform$161 $170Aug 28, 2026
CitigroupMaintainedBuy$176 $179Aug 21, 2026
Truist SecuritiesMaintainedBuy$165 $170Aug 20, 2026
UBSMaintainedBuy$187 $195Aug 20, 2026
Evercore ISI GroupMaintainedOutperform$185 $191Aug 20, 2026
BarclaysMaintainedUnderweight$115 $122Jul 14, 2026
CitigroupUpgraded from NeutralBuy$146 $176Jul 10, 2026
RBC CapitalReiteratedOutperform$158Jun 11, 2026
Keefe, Bruyette & WoodsUpgraded from Market PerformOutperform$158 $161Jun 9, 2026
UBSMaintainedBuy$198 $187May 21, 2026
Evercore ISI GroupMaintainedOutperform$176 $185May 21, 2026
Truist SecuritiesMaintainedBuy$170 $165May 21, 2026
RBC CapitalMaintainedOutperform$161 $158May 21, 2026
Truist SecuritiesMaintainedBuy$190 $170Apr 16, 2026
Evercore ISI GroupUpgraded from In-LineOutperform$174 $176Apr 13, 2026
BarclaysMaintainedUnderweight$116 $115Apr 8, 2026
Seaport GlobalDowngraded from BuyNeutral—Apr 7, 2026
CitigroupMaintainedNeutral$141 $162Feb 26, 2026

Insider transactions

96 filings from 16 insiders · 1 buy / 2 sell over 6m

Officers and directors of TOL, from the last two years of filings. Grants, gifts and option exercises are shown but not colour-coded — they are compensation, not a view on the price.

InsiderActionSharesPriceValueDate
East Stephen F.DirectorSell800$135.99$109kSep 24, 2026
PARAHUS ROBERTPresidentSell7.5k$149.66$1.12MJun 18, 2026
YEARLEY DOUGLAS C JROfficer and DirectorSell78.0k$156.58$12.21MJun 18, 2026
YEARLEY DOUGLAS C JROfficer and DirectorExercise78.0k$31.61$2.46MJun 18, 2026
EAST STEPHEN FDirectorSell1.0k$139.70$140kApr 15, 2026
MCLEAN JOHN A.DirectorSell2.3k$153.43$355kMar 4, 2026
MCLEAN JOHN A.DirectorExercise2.3k$31.61$73kMar 4, 2026
YEARLEY DOUGLAS C JRChief Executive OfficerSell27.0k$159.15$4.30MFeb 27, 2026
YEARLEY DOUGLAS C JRChief Executive OfficerExercise27.0k$31.61$854kFeb 27, 2026
YEARLEY DOUGLAS C JRChief Executive OfficerSell45.1k$160.39$7.24MFeb 24, 2026
YEARLEY DOUGLAS C JRChief Executive OfficerExercise45.1k$31.61$1.43MFeb 24, 2026
ZIEGLER GREGG LChief Financial OfficerOther4.9k——Jan 30, 2026
STOWELL SCOTT DDirectorOther1.5k——Jan 16, 2026
PRITCHETT WENDELL EDirectorOther1.6k——Jan 16, 2026
SANDSTROM KATHERINE MDirectorOther1.3k——Jan 16, 2026
GRIMES KAREN H.DirectorOther1.7k——Jan 16, 2026
EAST STEPHEN FDirectorOther1.7k——Jan 16, 2026
KAN DEREK T.DirectorOther1.5k——Jan 16, 2026
MCLEAN JOHN A.DirectorOther1.6k——Jan 16, 2026
REINSDORF JUDITH ADirectorOther1.3k——Jan 16, 2026

Analyst Notes

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No analyst notes on TOL yet.

Top voices on TOL

Members whose judged calls on TOL have played out most reliably.

No settled calls on TOL yet. Nobody has filed a call with a deadline on it.

A member is listed once they have three judged calls on a name.

Sign in to make a call

A call with a target is judged on whether the price reaches it by the deadline, counting each day's high (a buy) or low (a sell) from the day after the call was made. A call without one is judged on whether the price at the close on the deadline is higher (a buy) or lower (a sell) than the price the call was made at: the live price when it was saved, for a call made with Make a call, or the last close before the day it was filed, for a call made in a note. Not against the market or an index.

A percentage appears once five calls have reached their deadline. A target reached sooner is shown as played out early, and counts toward the percentage when its deadline passes, because a miss cannot be known before then.

A member’s prediction, judged on price history · not investment advice

Analyst Ratings

18 analysts covering

PeriodStrong BuyBuyHoldSellStrong SellConsensus
Current412401Buy2.14
1 mo ago310401Buy2.22
2 mo ago310401Buy2.22
3 mo ago310401Buy2.22
Price target$168.50$118.00 – $195.00
+20.4% to target